聊天

日本人在宫城县小学校里有规矩的排长队取水。

温故知新。

March 13 - The biggest earthquake on record in Japan and a tsunami hammered the country's northern coastline, causing widespread destruction and raising the prospect of significant economic damage.  
   The following shows how Japanese markets and the economy performed and fiscal and monetary authorities reacted following the Kobe earthquake in 1995:  
     
   * The earthquake:  
   -- The Kobe earthquake happened in the early hours of Jan. 17, 1995. It had a magnitude of 7.3 and killed more than 6,400 people. Damage was estimated at $100 billion.  
     
   * The economy:   
   -- Industrial output in January 1995 fell by 2.6 percent, but then rose for three consecutive months by 2.2 percent, 0.9 percent and 1.3 percent.  
   Economic growth through 1995 was relatively strong. First quarter activity expanded at an annualised rate of 3.4 percent. The following two quarters saw growth of 3.2 percent and 3.9 percent, respectively, before a pull back when the economy shrank 0.6 percent in the last quarter of the year.  
   The effects of rebuilding were felt in 1996 when annualised growth rates each quarter were; 3.7 percent, 4.0 percent, 0.9 percent and 5.9 percent.  
     
   * Currency:   
   -- The yen was on a tear at the time of the Kobe earthquake. It had rallied from just over 160 yen per dollar in 1990 to 99 yen at the end of 1994. After the Kobe earthquake struck, the yen extended the rise to a record high of 79.75 as investors repatriated funds from overseas. However, trade tensions with the United States were also a factor behind the yen's rise.  
   In the shorter term, the yen fell briefly after the Kobe earthquake. The day before the disaster, the yen had closed around 98.40 per dollar. It fell on the day of the quake to 99.11 and the following day to 99.69. In then traded largely steady until resuming its long-term rally in early February.  
     
   * Stocks:   
   -- The Nikkei average <.N225> fell on the day of the quake by 0.5 percent and then on the four days that followed. It continued to fall, losing more than 16 percent by the end of the quarter. However, one reason for the fall was concern over the rise in the yen and how that could undermine export earnings. By the end of the year, the Nikkei recovered all of its losses.  
     
   * Bank of Japan:   
   -- The central bank provided special loans of up to 1 trillion yen to financial institutions that had branches in affected areas after the quake from July 1996 to July 1997.  
   It initially had a one-year program but extended it for another year.  
     
   * Fiscal policy:   
   -- Japan spent roughly 3.4 trillion yen in three extra budgets - one compiled in fiscal 1994/95 (April/March) and two others compiled in fiscal 1995/96 - for disaster relief and reconstruction after the quake

现在和９５年不同的是，
1995年，日本的国债是国民总产值GDP的80%
2011年，日本的国债是国民总产值GDP的190%
现在原子能电站有问题。

福岛第一核电站3号反应堆以复合氧化物（mixed-oxide ，MOX)为主。MOX燃料是一种再循环燃料，由放射性极强的铀和钚组成，含有钚的MOX燃料比单纯的铀能量高出12%，循环利用铀之后，能量再次提升22%。但是，林曼指出，MOX包含钚、镅、锔等极具放射毒性物质，一旦发生熔融事故，可能会增加10%的癌变几率。钚的放射毒性极大，根据国际辐射防护Wei员会（ICRP）的数据显示，MOX燃料释放到环境中的钚含量不能超过1毫克，2千克，也就是两百万毫克的铀释放才会造成同等级的放射毒性。一次累积400毫西弗辐射会引发肺癌风险，美国能源部估计，摄入5000直径3微米个钚粒子就会导致具生命危险的癌症风险。目前，东京电力公司声称测量出的每小时放射量为882微西弗（microsievert），而允许值为500微西弗。日本官方发言人枝野幸男表示，该地区的辐射量已提升至1204微西弗。
http://www.mittrchinese.com/single.php?p=31382

我就不吓你们了，一点事实
钚是世界上毒性第二大的物质。一片药片大小的钚，足以毒死2亿人，5克的钚足以毒死所有人类。钚的毒性比砒霜大4．86亿倍.

美国ZhengFu14日向国民发出紧急通知，要求在日本福岛县的美国人立刻离开该地区。同时要求美国人在近期不要前往日本。这是继法国ZhengFu之后，外国ZhengFu对在日本的本国国民发出的第二个避难要求。
德国工程师也撤了。

现在说福岛２号站的燃料棒整个都露在冷却水上面了。冷却海水一下去，就蒸发掉了。
这就是意味着，很有可能，它会象１号那样，热融爆炸。

2012清理真的开始了！！

这下惨了，日本和美国正在搞的军事演习不得不暂停了，东亚小北约的梦也泡了。但是我相信，等缓过劲来，它还是要搞的，遭殃的总是被遗忘的平民百姓。

报道说福岛２号的冷却系统暂时得到了控制。

日本的一个工程师，他参加建造的福岛的原子能电站，对BBC电视台说，这个电站在1968年建设的时候就没有考虑要放地震或海啸。这个制造商东芝公司Toshiba 也知道。

现在说福岛２号站的燃料棒整个都露在冷却水上面了。日本向国家原子能组织请求派专家来日本。日本官方Yukio Edano 说了，我们不可能完全把它控制住， 很有可能1号站的三个反应炉里都有热熔。
福岛现在测试的辐射度是昨天的2倍。
本人认为，这个冷水冷却系统至少要开10天才能把温度降下来，就是说你可以把nikkei 225做空 8天左右。

有买一瓶赠一瓶的优惠吗？

昨天的猜测都对了。

星期２，福岛２号真的爆炸了。风向今天是从福岛往东京吹，东京的辐射度是平时的20倍了。日本对于原子能危险性报道得很少，所以日本居民们更关心的是有没有新的海啸，对原子能危险性知道得很少。

日本的股市大盘最低跌到-１４％，后回到-１０.６％。在上个月星期天的时候，日本就讨论要不要开股市。最后想到日本是世界经济的很重要的一部分，我猜也是要面子，最后他们决定还是开。结果在星期一，日本银行这一天就对市场投入了相当于 1 167 亿人民币的资金救市。

Shirakawa yesterday committed at a news conference in Tokyo to keep pumping cash as needed after unleashing a record 15 trillion yen ($183 billion) in one-day operations. The central bank added 8 trillion yen today. The bank yesterday also decided to double its asset-purchase program to 10 trillion yen, an increase that’s about one-tenth the size of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s Treasuries-buying effort

就是说，这些钱从日本银行的腰包到了基金管理人的腰包。日本ZhengFu要面子，非要让股市开着。那这个面子星期1一天就要相当于1 167 亿人民币的资金来维持，星期2也要相当于 1 171 亿人民币的资金来维持.


[ 本帖最后由 一浪儿 于 11-3-15 17:20 编辑 ]

福岛４号原子能发电站起火。